Monetary and
financial stability, investment in infrastructure, and structural
transformation of the economy have emerged as the thrusts of economic
policy of the Administration of President Muhammadu Buhari. Domestic and
global investors can be assured that this policy trifecta is not just
the priority of President Buhari, it is also what is needed to transform
Nigeria's well-known economic potentials into reality for the benefit
of the citizenry and various Nigerian market participants.
The ideal of
monetary and financial stability is shared everywhere by policymakers,
investors and the consumers. In this regard, there is strong agreement
between the monetary and fiscal authorities to uphold socio-economic and
financial stability in Nigeria. This is part of the policy direction
that business leaders and investors have been anticipating. We now have
the good news of the affirmation of the saliency of stability.
This
should instil investors' confidence in Nigeria and spur new investments
in the country.
However, sections
of the market had been apprehensive about whether stability is feasible
for Nigeria, especially with the downward pressure on the naira exchange
rate, and under the present circumstance of lower oil prices. Agreed,
the fiscal headwind of lower oil prices would suggest accommodation of a
floating currency, but with the attendant downside risk, including
monetary, and potential financial instability.
This cannot be the right
policy to implement even for a day; its negative effects would remain
long after the policy has wound up. But then, knee-jerk recursive
currency devaluation has never been the only policy option the country
has in responding to the cycle of lower oil revenue. One of the
pertinent policy options is for the country to ratchet up investment in
infrastructure. To do so is to stimulate the economy and avoid a
recession that could be precipitated by austerity measures and economic
instability. Therefore, President Buhari has said his Administration
will invest in road and rail transport infrastructures as well as
support the power sector. A plan to raise $25 billion infrastructure
bond has been hinted at by the Finance Minister, Mrs. Kemi Adeosun,
giving further credence to the Government's commitment to investment in
infrastructure.
At a time of lower
revenue, this policy choice is definitely audacious. But these
infrastructure investment plans can prove to be the masterstroke that
will remove the constraint of lack of infrastructure which is the
staunchest barrier to broader domestic investment, trade and economic
growth. This will pave way for structural transformation of the economy.
For Nigeria to overcome the harsh adjustments that arise every so often
when the price of oil falls, structural diversification of the economy
has to happen with much stronger results. One aspect of the
restructuring relates to government raising more revenue from a wider
tax net. The other aspect is for Nigerian businesses to export finished
products and services, thereby broadening the sources of foreign
exchange flows into the economy.
The Nigerian
Export-Import Bank has continued to support the Government policy for
non-oil exports growth through its advisory and financing activities.
More than half a decade of working with Nigerian SMEs at NEXIM Bank has
continued to reveal the potentials in Agro-processing, Manufacturing,
Solid Minerals and Services (MASS) sectors. I often come in contact with
the passion, sheer resolve and innovativeness of Nigerian entrepreneurs
in the SME space, especially in the MASS sectors where we have focused
our interventions as the Trade Policy Bank of Federal Government of
Nigeria.
The other major
hurdle Nigerian real sector businesses face is high cost of lending.
But, since Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Governor, Mr. Godwin Emefiele,
came into office last year, he has been advocating a paradigm shift in
which the real sector would benefit more from supportive monetary
policy.
This stance has been put beyond question at the November 2015
Monetary Policy Committee meeting when the Bank decided to bring down
anchor interest rate by 200 basis points (from 13% to 11%) - the first
rate reduction in six years; reduce Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) from 25% to
20%; and make manufacturers the target of lending of over N770 billion
that the combination of these decisions will inject into the banking
system as additional liquidity. It is also very good that the CBN, one
of the shareholders of NEXIM, has recently declared that it is disposed
to providing additional funding opportunities to enable the Bank provide
more facilities at single digit lending rate to the SMEs towards
boosting non-oil sector exports.
This is a positive
follow-up to the import curbs the CBN introduced a few months back
through its forex sales policy. The use of both policy and financing
instruments to spur local production to promote import-substitution and
export-manufacturing sits quite well with the fiscal programme the
Federal Government has been hinting at. And so the required synergy and
coordination of monetary and fiscal policy are in action.
No doubt, what
Nigerian businesses need are roads and other modern infrastructures, not
a weaker naira. What will create sustainable economic growth and
improvement in the welfare of Nigerians is a virile local manufacturing
industry, not availability of imported toothpick. And what will help
remove downward pressure on the naira is more export revenue from the
non-oil sectors, not devaluation at every turn of lower oil prices. The
authorities needed courage in their decision for this policy tripod.
They surely need to be resolute and stick to the decisions. The
authorities also need the support of Nigerians as well as local and
international financiers.
To complement our
resources at NEXIM, the Bank has been in a collaboration with Africa
Export-Import Bank (Afreximbank). In a recent interview by Ignite - the
quarterly journal of Nigerian Export-Import Bank, Afreximbank CEO, Dr.
Benedict Oramah spoke of some of the instruments the Bank uses to
support SME manufacturers as well as financial institutions offering
trade finance services in Africa. NEXIM Bank is working with the
Cairo-based Development Finance Institution to identify local
opportunities in Nigeria's non-oil sectors for financing. Both
institutions are also working on regional initiatives to facilitate
intra-Africa trade.
To address the
issue of trade debt, which can be very knotty in international trade,
NEXIM Bank is working with Afreximbank to introduce "factoring" to
Nigerian SME exporters. Factoring is a risk-mitigating instrument in
which a business owner sells accounts receivable at a discount to a
third-party funding source to raise capital. This instrument can help
Nigerian non-oil exporters participate more in export value-chains.
In
one form or another, the world's economies are implementing programmes
of adjustment in responding to a slower global growth. Nigeria is not
alone in making the necessary policy adjustments which are very capable
of transforming the structure of the economy in very remarkably positive
ways. This is why we all need to support the change agenda and the
transformational policies of the Government.
Source: All Africa News
